Friday, 20 September 2013

An Interesting Development

The most interesting thing about the recently reported HDZ-SDA proposal on reforming the process of electing Croat and Bosniak members of the Bosnian presidency is that it clearly delineates two separate entities within the Croat-Bosniak Federation.

This never happened during the controversial “Prud Process” abandoned in 2009, which proposed reconstituting Bosnia along the lines of four territorial units, so the outcry that has greeted the latest proposal is not surprising.

According to the Oslobodenje newspaper, the agreement between the leaders of the HDZ and SDA stipulates that for the purposes of electing two of the members of Bosnia’s tripartite presidency, the Federation will be divided into two units. One will comprise the Posavina, Una-Sava, Western Herzegovina, Herzegovina-Neretva, and Central Bosnia Cantons, with the other made up of the Tuzla, Zenica-Doboj, Sarajevo, and Bosnian Podrinje Cantons and Brcko District.

The publication of the proposal has already provoked a firestorm of opposition, most notably from the SDP, which claims that it paves the way for a three-way division of Bosnia.

But the agreement stresses that the division into two units would be solely for the purpose of electing members of the Bosnian presidency, rather than the creation of two separately governed entities. It effectively proposes creating two electoral constituencies, rather than any kind of administrative entities. (Although it would have the interesting effect of creating a link between "constituents" and the presidency member they have elected.) More importantly, the actual composition of the two units could never realistically form the basis of three way division of Bosnia because the first unit, though containing the vast majority of Bosnia's Croat population, has one overwhelmingly Bosniak canton, Una-Sana, and another, Central Bosnia, where power has been steadily shifting demographically and politically from the Croats to the Bosniaks. Any future Croat entity in Bosnia is unlikely to include these cantons.


Nevertheless, this agreement has once again raised the possibility of a new two-way division within the Federation that groups together existing cantons, albeit not the right ones to form the basis of the third entity that many Bosnian Croats dream of.

Saturday, 22 June 2013

The Joint Criminal Entity

Jadranko Prlic: Courtesy of the ICTY
Lingering doubts about the nature of “Herceg-Bosna”, the entity established by Bosnia’s Croats in November 1991, will have been laid to rest by the International Criminal Tribunal for the Former Yugoslavia’s recent judgement in the war crimes trial of six Bosnian Croat leaders.

The ICTY found Jadranko Prlic, former prime minister of Herceg-Bosna, and his co-accused guilty of crimes against Bosnian Muslims during the Muslim-Croat war. According to the judgement, the crimes they committed against Bosnian Muslims between January 1993 and April 1994 “were the result of a plan drawn up by members of the JCE (Joint Criminal Enterprise) whose goal was to permanently remove the Muslim population from Herceg-Bosna.”

This assertion follows findings in previous judgements that Herceg-Bosna was established with the intention that it would “in due course, become part of the Republic of Croatia” and that this was in line with Croatian president Franjo Tudjman’s “dream of a Greater Croatia.”

So Herceg-Bosna was to be separated from Bosnia, cleansed of its non-Croat population and attached to Croatia. It seems there is little left to say.

Yet a closer examination of the voluminous Prlic judgement suggests that things might not be so simple. Referring to the territories that were to come under Croat control in the Vance-Owen Peace Plan (VOPP) the judgement states that from mid-January 1993 the Croat aim was to enact an ethnic cleansing campaign that would make the three provinces designated to the Croats “majority or almost exclusively Croat.”

The difference between the two possibilities arising from this statement is huge. If the Croat goal was to make areas they controlled “almost exclusively Croat”, a massive campaign of ethnic cleansing was necessary, due to the large non-Croat pre-war population in the municipalities claimed by Herceg-Bosna. But if the goal was for the Croat provinces created by the VOPP to be Croat-majority, this left open the possibility that a large part, or possibly all, of the pre-war Muslim population could stay in these territories.

The judgement’s detailed account of events between 1992 and 1994 seems to back up the former interpretation, that Herceg-Bosna was to be “almost exclusively Croat.” From at least October 1992, the Bosnian Croats realised that it was necessary to modify the ethnic composition of territories. From May 1993, the HVO (Bosnian Croat Army) began demanding the assistance of international organisations in resettling Croats from Muslim-controlled territory such as Sarajevo and Tuzla into Croat-controlled areas. Parallel with these movements of Croats into Croat-controlled territory Muslims were expelled from Croat areas of municipalities such as Mostar, Stolac, Capljina, Ljubuski and Prozor into ARBiH- (Bosnian Army) controlled territory or to other countries via Croatia. In three neighbouring municipalities in Herzegovina, Ljubuski’s Muslim population fell to 826 from 2,381 between September and October 1993, Capljina’s fell to 3,852 from 14,085 and Stolac’s to zero from 8,093. Ljubuski is of particular interest because its pre-war population was already 94% Croat – suggesting that ethnic purity was the motive for the expulsions. As in other municipalities Muslim men of fighting age were imprisoned then released on condition they and their families left Herceg Bosna. Between June and the end of 1993 and in line with the campaign to replace Herceg-Bosna's Muslim population with Croats, 22,000 to 24,000 Croats from places such as Travnik, Novi Travnik, Vares, Kiseljak and Bugojno arrived in Herceg Bosna, notably in Prozor, Stolac, Capljina and Ljubuski. The crimes that were committed by the HVO between January 1993 and April 1994 were in the vast majority of cases the result of a plan drawn up by the leaders of Herceg Bosna to modify the ethnic makeup of Croat-controlled territory.

Yet despite the judgement’s exhaustive account of the ethnic cleansing campaign visited on Muslims in Croat territory, many questions remain about the nature of the JCE of which Prlic and his co-defendants have been convicted. Did the resettlement of Croats from Bosnian government-controlled areas into Herceg-Bosna necessarily mean that the Muslim population would also be expelled from areas of resettlement? If the Bosnian Croat policy of ethnic modification did tilt more towards majority-Croat territories than “nearly exclusively Croat” ones, did this mean that only Herceg-Bosna taken as a whole had to be majority Croat or did each municipality have to be majority Croat? In the latter case, Muslims would have to be expelled from municipalities such as Jablanica and Konjic, which had pre-war Muslim majorities but were claimed as part of Herceg-Bosna. If the JCE did aim at ethnic purity, as is suggested by expulsion of Muslims from places that were already overwhelmingly Croat, such as Ljubuski, why were Muslims not expelled on the same scale from municipalities such as Tomislavgrad and Orasje, a municipality where Muslims continued to fight in the HVO until the end of the war? (Orasje was originally in the Croatian Community of Bosanska Posavina, which like the Croatian Community of Herceg Bosna was established in November 1991. Though it is in northern Bosnia, it became part of Herceg-Bosna, which originally only comprised municipalities in Herzegovina and central and western Bosnia, in September 1992. Orasje was according to the VOPP to be in Province 3, which the Prlic judgement explicitly states was, like the other Croat provinces, 8 and 10, to be ethnically cleansed of Muslims. This never happened.) The judgement says that the Bosnian Croat leaders sought to resettle Croats from Bosnian government-controlled Sarajevo and Tuzla to Herceg-Bosna. To what lengths did they go in pursuit of this aim and if this was their aim why did the HVO continue to operate in Sarajevo and Tuzla until the end of 1993, before being disbanded by the Bosnian government? Such questions need to be properly addressed to determine whether the Croats’ aim was to make Herceg-Bosna “majority” or “almost exclusively” Croat. But the claim about Sarajevo and Tuzla is taken from comments made by an anonymous witness in closed session, so we can’t properly assess it.

Some of the answers to these questions may be contained in the exhibits that are mentioned in the judgement. But reading the dissenting opinion of the presiding judge reinforces the impression that the judgement does not back up its bald assertion that the JCE’s “goal was to permanently remove the Muslim population from Herceg-Bosna.”

Judge Antonetti, did not share his colleagues’ view that the accused were part of a JCE also involving the Croatian leaders to ethnically cleanse Herceg Bosna. In his dissenting opinion, he says it is “it is very difficult to discern exactly the real goal of the JCE” and notes that just as ethnic cleansing may have motives other than the creation of “Greater Croatia”,  the creation of “Greater Croatia” did not necessarily entail ethnic cleansing.

Much of Judge Antonetti’s criticism of the JCE concept relates to the involvement of President Tudjman and other Croatian leaders in the plan and his doubts about whether Tudjman really was playing a “double game” that involved publicly supporting Bosnia’s borders while actually seeking to annex part of it. He is less sparing in his criticism of the Bosnian Croat leaders, for instance acknowledging that Prlic played a personal role in the expulsion of Muslims from Herceg-Bosna.  The Prlic judgement and Judge Antonetti’s dissenting opinion leave one in little doubt that a systematic campaign of ethnic cleansing was carried out against the Bosnian Muslims in the municipalities that were covered by the trial. Whether this campaign was actually the result of a plan to create an ethnically pure Herceg Bosna is much less clear.

Thursday, 11 April 2013

The Power of Propaganda

Mostar after the war

The first few seconds of the documentary “Unfinished Business: War in Mostar”, which was broadcast on the BBC in 1993, are very powerful.
 
Images of the devastated city are set against a tannoy system emitting a ghostly female voice, interrupted by gunfire before the presenter takes over. He describes what we have just heard: “Croatian propaganda echoing over the front line in Mostar, the most vicious theatre of war in Bosnia-Herzegovina.”

This sets the tone for the rest of the documentary, which portrays the devastation the Croats inflicted on besieged Muslim-held East Mostar, the expulsion of elderly Muslims from Croat-held West Mostar and the desperate attempts of the Muslims to fight back. It does deliver some balance when it shows the Bosnian Army forcing captured Croat soldiers to dig trenches on the front line in contravention to the Geneva Convention, but taken as a whole, there is little doubt at which side this film points the finger. 

It contains much interesting and harrowing detail about the horrendous conditions in East Mostar, but what about this propaganda the Croats were relaying over loudspeakers? The presenter of the documentary, Jeremy Bowen, who dramatically reminds us about it again eight minutes into the film, fails to provide any kind of description. 

All that can be heard is the voice listing international dialling codes for Croatia and Slovenia: “Republiku Hrvatsku 385, Republiku Sloveniju 386”. The viewer can only imagine what kind of Orwellian poison spews out of these tannoys once the speaker has finished listing telephone numbers.

Mr Bowen was given the opportunity to shed further light on the nature of the propaganda when he appeared in 2007 as a witness in the ongoing trial of Jadranko Prlic et al, Bosnian Croat political and military leaders who are accused of war crimes against Muslims in Mostar and elsewhere. He was quizzed about the documentary by the defence team.

Mr Bowen insisted that although the audible part of the speech from the tannoy is not propaganda, “that broadcast went on for many hours a day and we listened to it a lot and I listened to it with our translator who described to me what was being said ...  [the tannoys] were there for a purpose, and that purpose was to try to get over the political propaganda points of one side.”

He concedes that the documentary makers “should have chosen a better piece of sound for that section of the picture, because it is a bit confusing” but adds, “I'm telling you there was propaganda coming out of those tannoys.”

Pressed by the judge to come up with “a sentence that was actually spoken and leads you to say it was propaganda”, Mr Bowen replies that he can’t remember an exact sentence, but explains that the Croats were broadcasting news of battlefield victories in the same way the BiHTV news he saw in Sarajevo broadcast news of Bosnian Army victories.

“I didn’t take either news broadcast seriously; I regarded both as propaganda,” he adds, perfectly reasonably.

None of this laudable scepticism and balance is apparent in the film though. This wouldn't matter so much if it were also possible to imagine a BBC documentary about the Muslim-Croat conflict beginning with an unexplained account of the Bosnian government's nefarious propaganda, but this is not the case.


In "Bosnia by Television", Nik Gowing,  diplomatic editor for the UK's Channel Four News until 1996, writes that due to difficulties getting there, the conflict in Mostar barely received any coverage until Jeremy Bowen made his film. So as one of the few contemporary accounts of life in Mostar in 1993, "Unfinished Business: War in Mostar" may well have played an important part in shaping Western perceptions of the Muslim-Croat war. But the film itself was clearly shaped by an already prevailing view of that conflict and, by failing to question that view, can be seen to have contributed to a distorted view of the conflict.

Saturday, 23 March 2013

Hadzici and the Croat-Muslim Civil War





The siege of Sarajevo was an important factor in the Croat-Muslim war of 1993 to 1994.

Although it was a conflict between the mostly Muslim Bosnian Army (ARBiH) and the Bosnian Serb Army (BSA), the Sarajevo siege was close to areas of Herzegovina and central Bosnia with mixed Croat and Muslim populations.

As was discussed in a previous post, “Confusion over Konjic”, relations between the Bosnian Croat army, known as the Croatian Defence Council (HVO), and the ARBiH, in the northern Herzegovinian municipality of Konjic became strained in mid-1992 when the HVO refused to join ARBiH actions aimed at lifting the siege of Sarajevo.

As Croat-Muslim relations worsened, Hadzici, prior to the war one of the 10 Sarajevo municipalities, became drawn into the dispute between the two groups. In January 1993, ARBiH commander Sefer Halilovic warned the commander of the Herzegovina-based 4th Brigade of the ARBIH of “cadres” from the ARBiH and the MUP (interior ministry) in Konjic and neighbouring Hadzici who had put themselves in the service of “Greater Croatian” politics. Hadzici was significant in this regard because although the Croat population there was tiny, the main road from Mostar, seen by the Bosnian Croats as their capital, to Kiseljak, a Croat-majority municipality in central Bosnia, ran through it.

In March 1993, ARBiH forces from Hadzici, who were part of the Sarajevo-based 1st Corp of the ARBiH, were involved in an attack on the HVO aimed at taking control of a military facility in Konjic, in northern Herzegovina.

ARBiH forces from Hadzici were also involved in the Croat-Muslim conflict in central Bosnia. Fighting between the Croats and Muslims in Kiseljak and Kresevo, municipalities that before the war had Croat majorities, started in January 1993 and was initially concentrated on their western fringes. Later in the year, the fighting shifted to the south and east of Kiseljak and Kresevo, which by that time formed a Croat-controlled enclave surrounded by ARBiH territory.

In late June, the ARBiH began targeting Kresevo, an attack that involved the ARBiH 3rd Corps, which covered central Bosnia, and elements of the Sarajevo-based 1st Corps. The ARBiH failed to take Kresevo and shifted their attack west to the town of Fojnica. These actions seemingly involved the 9th Mountain Brigade from Hadzici and the 4th Motorised Brigade from Ilidza, another Sarajevo municipality. Fojnica fell to the ARBiH in early July.

After Fojnica fell, the ARBiH’s actions against the Kiseljak enclave were largely linked to efforts to lift the siege of Sarajevo. The Croat enclave around Kiseljak, while mostly surrounded by ARBiH territory, also bordered territory controlled by the VRS forces that were besieging Sarajevo; the Croats in Kiseljak had a cordial relationship with the VRS and the frontline was peaceful.  The ARBiH wanted to break this connection and control all of the road, part of which was already controlled by the 9th Mountain Brigade of the ARBiH 1st Corps, between Han Ploca (in Kiseljak municipality) and Tarcin (in Hadzici) so they could attack the VRS and smash the siege of Sarajevo. The HVO wanted Kiseljak to stay out what they saw as a Serb-Muslim conflict. Fighting in this area continued periodically until the end of the Croat-Muslim war in March 1994. The Muslims never managed to break the connection between HVO- and VRS-held territory.

As in other parts of Bosnia, the ARBiH-HVO conflict in Kiseljak may not have been so much about one group’s desire to control the territory and expel all inhabitants belonging to the other group as about the two groups’ wholly different war aims in relation to the Serbs. The Croats had no dispute with the Serbs over territory in this region, unlike the Muslims, who were desperate to lift the siege of Sarajevo. As Charles Shrader writes in “The Muslim-Croat Civil War in Central Bosnia”: “Had the ABiH offensives in the Kiseljak area succeeded, which they did in part, the Muslims would have linked the II, III and VII Corps to the north with the I, IV and VI Corps to the south, saving about a hundred kilometres over the Zenica-Novi Travnik-Gornji Vakuf route.”

Despite the atrocities and ethnic cleansing committed by both sides, the Croats and the Muslims each had understandable strategic aims in Kiseljak and it was the incompatibility of these, rather than any particular sinister objectives of one side, that was largely responsible for the conflict in this area.

Sunday, 3 March 2013

A brief comment on the LM libel case


I was struck recently by a comment Oliver Kamm, a columnist for the London Times, made about the Srebrenica massacre on his blog. He said that there is “no legitimate debate about the nature of that abominable crime.”

Perhaps we should not read too much into this comment. But if taken literally it would seem to deem “illegitimate” the debate that must have taken place during former Yugoslav Army chief Momcilo Perisic’s appeal process against his conviction for war crimes, a process that led to him last week being acquitted of all charges, including that of aiding and abetting war crimes in Srebrenica. Surely the exact truth about the Srebrenica massacre can only be determined by debating aspects of that crime, such as the extent and nature of Belgrade's involvement in it.

Anyway, Mr Kamm’s blog post also referred to a piece he wrote last year for the Jewish Chronicle newspaper that discussed the Srebrenica massacre and a famous libel trial concerning the camps run by the Bosnian Serbs in 1992. An article in the magazine LM in 1997 accused two British reporters of misrepresenting conditions at the Trnopolje camp. The journalists successfully sued LM in 2000 for a large sum of money and the magazine soon went out of business.

As Mr Kamm relates: “while LM went out of business under the costs of its calumnious lies, several of its staff have since attained media prominence. Mick Hume, its editor, was for some years a Times columnist.”

It is not clear whether he thinks it is a bad thing that LM’s staff did not have their careers ended by the libel case, but the same cannot be said of the following comment by Nick Cohen, a journalist writing in Standpoint magazine about Ed Vulliamy’s book The War is Dead: Long Live the War:

“Claire Fox of the RCP [the Revolutionary Communist Party, the group behind LM] has gone on to become a panellist on BBC Radio 4's Moral Maze. The BBC lets her get away with this: nobody questions the morality of whitewashing the worst crimes Europe has seen since Stalin.”

Celebrating LM’s loss of this libel case and subsequent demise is one thing, but to suggest that anyone who worked for the magazine should be shunned from any kind of media prominence is quite another. This does not seem to me the attitude of a person willing to give views different to his own a fair hearing.