Jadranko Prlic: Courtesy of the ICTY |
The ICTY found Jadranko Prlic, former prime minister of Herceg-Bosna, and his co-accused guilty
of crimes against Bosnian Muslims during the Muslim-Croat war. According to the
judgement, the crimes they committed against Bosnian Muslims between January
1993 and April 1994 “were the result of a plan drawn up by members of the JCE
(Joint Criminal Enterprise) whose goal was to permanently remove the Muslim
population from Herceg-Bosna.”
This assertion follows findings in previous judgements that Herceg-Bosna
was established with the intention that it would “in due course, become part of
the Republic of Croatia” and that this was in line with Croatian president
Franjo Tudjman’s “dream of a Greater Croatia.”
So Herceg-Bosna was to be separated from Bosnia, cleansed of
its non-Croat population and attached to Croatia. It seems there is little left
to say.
Yet a closer examination of the voluminous Prlic judgement suggests that things might not be so simple. Referring to the territories that were to come under Croat control in the Vance-Owen Peace Plan (VOPP) the judgement states that from mid-January 1993 the Croat aim was to enact an ethnic cleansing campaign that would make the three provinces designated to the Croats “majority or almost exclusively Croat.”
The difference between the two possibilities arising from
this statement is huge. If the Croat goal was to make areas they controlled
“almost exclusively Croat”, a massive campaign of ethnic cleansing was
necessary, due to the large non-Croat pre-war population in the municipalities
claimed by Herceg-Bosna. But if the goal was for the Croat provinces created by
the VOPP to be Croat-majority, this left open the possibility that a large
part, or possibly all, of the pre-war Muslim population could stay in these
territories.
The judgement’s detailed account of events between 1992 and
1994 seems to back up the former interpretation, that Herceg-Bosna was to be
“almost exclusively Croat.” From at least October 1992, the Bosnian Croats
realised that it was necessary to modify the ethnic composition of territories.
From May 1993, the HVO (Bosnian Croat Army) began demanding the assistance of
international organisations in resettling Croats from Muslim-controlled
territory such as Sarajevo and Tuzla into Croat-controlled areas. Parallel with
these movements of Croats into Croat-controlled territory Muslims were expelled
from Croat areas of municipalities such as Mostar, Stolac, Capljina, Ljubuski
and Prozor into ARBiH- (Bosnian Army) controlled territory or to other
countries via Croatia. In three neighbouring municipalities in Herzegovina,
Ljubuski’s Muslim population fell to 826 from 2,381 between September and
October 1993, Capljina’s fell to 3,852 from 14,085 and Stolac’s to zero from
8,093. Ljubuski is of particular interest because its pre-war population was
already 94% Croat – suggesting that ethnic purity was the motive for the
expulsions. As in other municipalities Muslim men of fighting age were
imprisoned then released on condition they and their families left Herceg
Bosna. Between June and the end of 1993 and in line with the campaign to replace Herceg-Bosna's Muslim population with Croats, 22,000 to 24,000 Croats from places
such as Travnik, Novi Travnik, Vares, Kiseljak and Bugojno arrived in Herceg
Bosna, notably in Prozor, Stolac, Capljina and Ljubuski. The crimes that were
committed by the HVO between January 1993 and April 1994 were in the vast
majority of cases the result of a plan drawn up by the leaders of Herceg Bosna
to modify the ethnic makeup of Croat-controlled territory.
Yet despite the judgement’s exhaustive account of the ethnic
cleansing campaign visited on Muslims in Croat territory, many questions remain
about the nature of the JCE of which Prlic and his co-defendants have been
convicted. Did the resettlement of Croats from Bosnian government-controlled
areas into Herceg-Bosna necessarily mean that the Muslim population would also be
expelled from areas of resettlement? If the Bosnian Croat policy of ethnic
modification did tilt more towards majority-Croat territories than “nearly
exclusively Croat” ones, did this mean that only Herceg-Bosna taken as a whole
had to be majority Croat or did each municipality have to be majority Croat? In
the latter case, Muslims would have to be expelled from municipalities such as
Jablanica and Konjic, which had pre-war Muslim majorities but were claimed as
part of Herceg-Bosna. If the JCE did aim at ethnic purity, as is suggested by
expulsion of Muslims from places that were already overwhelmingly Croat, such
as Ljubuski, why were Muslims not expelled on the same scale from
municipalities such as Tomislavgrad and Orasje, a municipality where Muslims
continued to fight in the HVO until the end of the war? (Orasje was originally
in the Croatian Community of Bosanska Posavina, which like the Croatian
Community of Herceg Bosna was established in November 1991. Though it is in
northern Bosnia, it became part of Herceg-Bosna, which originally only comprised
municipalities in Herzegovina and central and western Bosnia, in September
1992. Orasje was according to the VOPP to be in Province 3, which the Prlic
judgement explicitly states was, like the other Croat provinces, 8 and 10, to be
ethnically cleansed of Muslims. This never happened.) The judgement says that
the Bosnian Croat leaders sought to resettle Croats from Bosnian government-controlled
Sarajevo and Tuzla to Herceg-Bosna. To what lengths did they go in pursuit of
this aim and if this was their aim why did the HVO continue to operate in Sarajevo
and Tuzla until the end of 1993, before being disbanded by the Bosnian
government? Such questions need to be properly addressed to determine whether
the Croats’ aim was to make Herceg-Bosna “majority” or “almost exclusively”
Croat. But the claim about Sarajevo and Tuzla is taken from comments made by an
anonymous witness in closed session, so we can’t properly assess it.
Some of the answers to these questions may be contained in
the exhibits that are mentioned in the judgement. But reading the dissenting
opinion of the presiding judge reinforces the impression that the judgement
does not back up its bald assertion that the JCE’s “goal was to permanently
remove the Muslim population from Herceg-Bosna.”
Judge Antonetti, did not share his colleagues’ view that the
accused were part of a JCE also involving the Croatian leaders to ethnically
cleanse Herceg Bosna. In his dissenting opinion, he says it is “it is very
difficult to discern exactly the real goal of the JCE” and notes that just as
ethnic cleansing may have motives other than the creation of “Greater Croatia”,
the creation of “Greater Croatia” did
not necessarily entail ethnic cleansing.
Much of Judge Antonetti’s criticism of the JCE concept
relates to the involvement of President Tudjman and other Croatian leaders in
the plan and his doubts about whether Tudjman really was playing a “double
game” that involved publicly supporting Bosnia’s borders while actually
seeking to annex part of it. He is less sparing in his criticism of the Bosnian
Croat leaders, for instance acknowledging that Prlic played a personal role in
the expulsion of Muslims from Herceg-Bosna. The Prlic judgement and Judge Antonetti’s
dissenting opinion leave one in little doubt that a systematic campaign of
ethnic cleansing was carried out against the Bosnian Muslims in the
municipalities that were covered by the trial. Whether this campaign was actually
the result of a plan to create an ethnically pure Herceg Bosna is much less
clear.